STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Its a year ending in 2 and a Shmita year on the Jewish calendar, both of which have been associated with far below average stock market returns. The new tower raised up from Ground Zero has Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first People are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions accordingly. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. So what are we to conclude? Leaving aside Cahans highly dubious theology, (since when did George Washington or the other Founding Fathers have a direct line to the divine?) Please use the following structure: example@domain.com, Send me The Times of Israel Daily Edition. Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. Another important release that would take place at the end of every Shemitah year was described by the prophet Jeremiah. SHEMITAH CYCLE AMTV 684K subscribers Subscribe 1.2K 17K views 1 year ago #AMTV. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. The Shmita is based on the civil calendar which always begins on the Feast of Trumpets (September/October). As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. Your email address will not be published. But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time. Copyright 2023 The Blockchain Today People are in the middle of a great crisis that continues to increase, but theyre still fat and happy. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. 1965-1966 Shmita Year - 23% stock market value wiped out. If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. During that time we are apt to get energized, excited and sometimes completely carried away by the whole business. But what does this have. However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. We are asking for your ideas too. On April 30, 1789 George Washington prophetically Through history, there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events. His Hidden Secrets of Money is a great input to your own thought process. Cahn subsequently went on to publish a second book in 2014 that was exclusively related to the Shemitah Effect, entitled The Mystery of the Shemitah. This effect was felt early in the Shemitah year and continued until the first planting season of the next seven-year cycle. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. The cycle of seven is like a two edged sword. Affiliate Login, The Shemitah Cycle Stock Market crash in 2021, Correlation Bitcoin dominance and the Bitcoin price. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. Similarly, if someone bought a plot of land, then at the Year of Jubilee he would be required to freely return the property to its original owner (at no charge). The greater the number of years left before the next Jubilee, the greater would be the value of the land and therefore the price. Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. In addition, the Year of Jubilee would bring a release of property throughout all of Israel. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. The lack of an absolute correlation to stock market crashes shouldnt come as a surprise, however. One of the main purposes of the Sabbaths and Shemitahs was to put a damper on the lust for more money and material things, and through this process help return the hearts of the people back to a reliance on God, who is after all the only true source of everything that we have in life. and lie still." God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest Thus, the agricultural effect occurs during the entire year and immediately thereafter, whereas the effect from the debt release occurs only at the end of the year and its wake. Thus, while the last few Shemitahs have almost exactly correlated to market crashesand as Jonathan Cahn has said they may be indicative of a broader approaching judgment upon Americawe will not be able to use the Shemitah Effect to predict what will happen during the next Shemitah year in 2021-2022. Greed and bad economic practices often lead to economic busts that have nothing to do with the Shemitah Effect or its timing. Risk Disclaimer & Terms of Service Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. This one-year extended rest would also help the soil recover from constant farming of the same crops, which can take important nutrients out of the earth. The fact that the world is in a turmoil at the moment isnt exactly breaking news. Please try again or choose an option below. On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. For every seventh cycle of shemita, it tells of a yubilee-year; a kind of a restart where, among other things, debts are to be erased. All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. Required fields are marked *. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. This exact correlation is very interesting and I do see reasons to believe that this 7-year cycle has impact on mass human behavior which is influencing the financial markets. Well, if we compare the Shemitah years with the financial markets we can see a very interesting correlation. Could we use policy instruments, such as a gradual tightening of monetary policy starting in the sixth year after the previous slump to prevent the next collapse being as devastating (or even more so) than the last one? The previous salary increase was higher than the last one, so were kind of happy. It doesnt matter if hes right or wrong, what matters is you and your view of things. Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. Yet the charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such a rhythm is obstinately embedded in human economic life. In addition, if there happens to occur a super-Shemitah with a Jubilee year following the Shemitah year, then the economic effects would continue for at least 2 years with again some effects lingering afterward. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Dividends and income are included in the index returns. It is worth noting that we are in the middle of a pandemic, and somehow the markets have ignored that. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. They are intended to provide general comparative information to help an individual client or prospective client in deciding whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies meet, or continue to meet, his/her investment objective(s). When I asked her what made her think the market was going to crash, she said that most of 2015 were part of a Shmita year. 2000-2001 Shmita Year - 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. U.S. Voted to Let me show you. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. There is basically no systematic effect. The S&P 500 has posted a mild recovery since its bear market lows in mid-2022, when it fell more than 25% from its high. Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. In Israel, farms must go uncultivated. The 1994 bond market massacre is remembered with horror by those who lived through it. This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. and lie still. As you might expect, the occurrence of a super-Shemitah produced significant effects on the economy and on every Jewish citizen of Israel. These downturns are likely due to the fact that the worlds economies are not run according to the way God intended them to be run, and therefore over time they become increasingly chaotic and unpredictable. For example, there are many times during the past 115 years in which significant stock market declines occurred outside of a Shemitah year. Shmita years are behind the rise and fall of America. Table 2. The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. Welcome to our community. For the non-Shmita years, the average return is 9.0% (16.5%), but for the Shmita years, it is an average loss of -2.4% (22.7). Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. On August 29, 1966, the S&P 500 dropped to 74.53, down -20.76% from its prior high 6 months previously on February 9, 1966. The US has inherited the Biblical blessings and curses. Please invest accordingly. God often operates within the realm of probabilities in such a way that He makes it difficult or impossible for us to absolutely predict the future. Vi har ftt igjen pengene vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk!Evig takknemlige!!! Therefore, working backward from the Shemitah of 2014-2015, the following years can be calculated to be Shemitahs simply subtracting 7 from each year. In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. Even your cattle and the animals that are in your land shall have all its crops to eat.. Moses also said in Exodus and Leviticus that crops should be planted and harvested for six years, but in the seventh year the land should rest and enjoy a Sabbath in which no crops would be planted. Thus, although the economic busts that he relates to Shemitahs really did occur, the book leaves us with an incomplete picture of the actual statistical significance of the phenomenon. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. This is wsb content right here. "But the seventh year thou shall let it rest Is there a principle that has been functioning for decades and perhaps even for centuries, which affects the global political and economic systems and causes periodic recessions or depressions? I really appreciate your Economic theory and policy struggle to understand and effectively address the business cycle. 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